As I start to formulate this blog, it’s Tuesday, the last game of GW10 was Monday.
EDIT original blog scrapped It’s just been announced the Friday night game is off, unlucky if you hold Villa and Newcastle assets. It’s now Wednesday.
The luck debate has been ongoing in the community this past week or so, chat room banter even inspired a weekly dynamic Bacon-Dread Unlucky list
The WGTA guys even chose to discuss luck in their pod recently
An interesting conclusion they come to; luck is something others attribute to you, you don’t see it yourself. Well I saw it last week, as I off loaded my Spurs assets, avoided Chelsea attack and went Jesus over Vardy. Why would I do that ? Have I never heard of FOMO ??!!
Psychopaths well, we don’t feel fear. We get adrenal responses of course we do, but we don’t know we are supposed to be afraid of stuff. We don’t process the emotion of fear. It doesn’t occur to us. And we can’t understand it, either. I mean, we get that you feel something, but we don’t get it.
Can you make your own luck ? How might we do that ? Dr. Stephann Makri at University College London, one of a team who researched this very issue, suggests lucky people have two things in common:
“First, they realized that an opportunity was presented to them. Then they seized the opportunity and took action.”
- be an opportunities magnet, spread the word you like making left field transfers or risky moves, let people know in chat rooms, encourage the narrative
- open up a little, chill, rather than shutting the door to possibility, allow serendipity to enter your life
- socialise, be more active in the community, the more outgoing you are, the more opportunities–and luck–you will attract.
- be flexible, planning and strategy is key to FPL success, but so is modification. Be agile and think options.
- don’t be afraid to fail. Easy to preach, harder to practise, especially if you are going against the herd.
Some managers consistently achieve top 50k finishes, are they luckier than most ? Is it luck or is it skill ? It’s skill. The biggest reason why FPL is a game of skill and not luck is because your main opponents are other people, not the game week dramas. Luck is a short term, emotional trigger, skill is a strong mind set which overrides drama and gets you results long term.
I don’t show my team every week in the blog, because even I get bored with my dullard, dig in, defensive strategy, more often than not rolling a transfer and never taking a hit. But it is working.
In Germany, lucky pigs (“Glücksschwein”) are often given as tokens to wish friends and family a happy and lucky New Year. Here’s a very lucky pig, if you lick the screen I promise a green arrow this coming game week.